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Constitutional Conservatives Should 'Just Say No' to Trump 2024: Declan M. Hurley

Constitutional conservatives’ primary worldly commitment is to the Constitution, which lists our fundamental freedoms, defines the national government’s limited powers, and frames a political structure oriented toward the maximization of liberty. Former President Donald Trump’s promises and record won over many constitutional conservatives in 2016 and 2020. However, Trump has shown that his second administration would be a disappointment to constitutional conservatives, who should take a principled pass on his 2024 bid even though polls show that he would beat President Joe Biden. Trump’s Record Will Not Be His 2024 Roadmap Factbase’s archive indicates that Trump has used the phrase “constitutional conservative” precisely once. However, shortly before Trump announced his 2016 bid, he aligned himself squarely with constitutional conservatives by tweeting  this sage George Washington quote : “The Constitution is the guide which I never will abandon.” And, about a year later, Trump proc
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Tanking Economy Frames President Biden's 33.4% Approval on That Front

The S&P 500 took a 21% plunge in the first six months of 2022, minting the index’s worst performance in that interval since 1970. President Joe Biden The University of Michigan reports that consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in the history of their survey, which has been running since just after the Second World War. Inflation remains at 8.6%, and the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow service forecasts that the United States is in the midst of a recession (defined by economists as two quarters of economic contraction). Fair or unfair, headlines like these explain why just 33.4% of Americans approve of President Joe Biden’s job performance on the economy. The tight labor market may be the 46th president’s only viable economic talking point, and even that one is dubious: The labor-force participation rate remains more than one percentage point lower than it was in February 2020.

Analysis: 60% of Voters Disapprove of President Biden

Americans continue to sour on President Joe Biden, whose approval rating has been in the red since mid-August. Rasmussen Reports, a conservative pollster that tracks the president's approval rating daily, pegs his disapproval rating among likely voters at a whopping 60%. President Joe Biden Just 38% of likely voters approve of Biden's job performance in Rasmussen polling, an all-time low for the 46th president. The left-leaning Quinnipiac College polling operation reports that Biden's approval rating is only 35% among registered voters, and 33% among all Americans. At this point in former President Donald Trump's tenure, Rasmussen pegged his approval rating at 46%. The 45th president hit a 38% approval rating only once in his presidency (on August 2, 2017) and never saw his support slip below that level. Polls show that Trump would beat Biden by almost five points in the popular vote if the 2024 election were held today. Trump lost the popular vote in both 2016 and

No Christmas Cheer for President Biden: Approval Hits Another Low

Besieged by crises since the Taliban fully retook Afghanistan in August, President Joe Biden may have been hoping for some Christmas cheer. But the pivotal member of the U.S. Senate, West Virginia Democrat Joe Manchin, announced Sunday that he will not support the president’s blowout social-spending package, dooming the legislation. And this Monday morning, Marist College released the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour poll, which pegs Biden’s approval rating at its lowest point yet. President Joe Biden (Flickr) If Marist’s survey is to be taken at face value despite the liberal bias of sponsors NPR and PBS , Biden’s approval rating among all American adults is 41%. 55% disapprove of his job performance. Among registered voters, Biden is at 42% approval. Limited Support Overall: Independents hold the president’s job performance in low regard, evidenced by his 29% approval rating among that key subgroup. 66% of independents disapprove of Biden’s job performance, and 50% strongly disapprove. J

Analysis: What to Make of Republicans' Chances in 2021

Last week’s polls show the potential for Democratic underperformance in 2021 and 2022. President Joe Biden’s approval rating dropped six points in a month in Gallup polling , and Emerson College’s survey of California indicates that Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom will be fighting for his political life ahead of the September 14th recall election. Gallup pegs Biden’s approval rating at 50%, with 45% disapproving, down from 57% approval in April and 56% in June. Former President Donald Trump achieved 49% approval per Gallup on several occasions and never crossed the 50% threshold, but the 2016 and 2020 elections indicated that polls systemically understate Trump’s support among American voters. Democrats and independents, not Republican partisans, are the reason for Biden’s plunge. His support among Democrats declined from 98% in February to 90% today, and he similarly went from 61% to 48% among independents. 12% of Republicans give Biden good ratings, up one percentage point from Fe

Analysis: Florida's COVID Outcomes Better Than New York's

Florida and New York have comparable population sizes and densities . However, their governors—Ron DeSantis (R., Florida) and Andrew Cuomo (D., New York)—have taken starkly different approaches to the coronavirus pandemic. Ron DeSantis ( Naples Daily News ) Florida's DeSantis has implemented few COVID-related restrictions, with a local CBS affiliate reporting that "there is no statewide mask mandate. There are no restrictions on restaurants, and the governor says restaurants will stay open." In an acknowledgment that COVID-19 primarily affects senior citizens, DeSantis dispatched the National Guard to nursing homes and banned visits until September. Even today, indoor visitation at nursing homes is limited to family members and caregivers. Conversely, New York's Cuomo has opted for centralized control, dictates, and regulations, basing his decisions on regional hospitalization statistics, test positivity rates, and other metrics. Indoor dining in New York City

Editorial: Congress's Latest 5,593-Page Nightmare

In the past several days, congressional Democrats and Republicans compiled a 5,593-page spending bill that is “so unwieldy that it kept crashing Congress’s computers.” Unfortunately, it is likely that the bill—which provides COVID-19 relief and funds the federal government through 2021—will pass without any member of Congress having read it in full. Among other things, the $900 billion of coronavirus-related funds  extends $325 billion for small business loans, boosts state unemployment benefits by $300 a week, allows for 50 weeks of unemployment benefits instead of 26, and offers a $600 check to Americans who made less than $75,000 in the previous year (and another $600 for each of their children). Separately, the $1.4 trillion in government funding provides everything from foreign aid money to plans for presidential libraries . The Washington Post , hardly a bugle for austerity, disapprovingly reports , “The proposal includes numerous provisions -- from Smithsonian American W