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GOP Gains in Generic Ballot, President Trump's Approval at 50%

A new poll by IBD/TIPP found that the Republicans trail the Democrats by only two points in the generic ballot for the 2018 congressional elections, down from 11 points last month. This comes as President Donald Trump has rallied for Republican candidates nationwide and put the midterm elections in stark, life-or-death terms.

President Donald Trump

The IBD poll demonstrates that Democrats' advantage among independents plunged by eight points in one month. In September, they had 49% support among the bloc; now, they have 41% support. The GOP is still four points behind with independents, at 37%, but they're up by seven points compared to last month.

Regarding the results, IBD reported that the "Democrats' all-out attack on Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh, which culminated in a blisteringly partisan hearing last Thursday, may have backfired on the party just before the November elections."

The IBD poll comes as a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist survey showed the Democratic enthusiasm advantage plunging by eight points, from 10 to two, since July.

Now, the parties are statistically tied with regards to enthusiasm, as the poll's margin of error is 4.2%. 80% of Republicans and 82% of Democrats see the midterm elections as being "very important."

NPR reported on the survey, writing, "With Democrats already fired up for this election, the Kavanaugh confirmation fight has apparently had the effect of rousing a dormant GOP base."

Meanwhile, according to Rasmussen Reports, 50% of American likely voters approve of Trump's job performance, his highest mark in the survey since August 14, 2018.

At the same point in Barack Obama's presidency, he had a 48% approval rating among American likely voters in Rasmussen Reports' survey.


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